Key US House Races 2018
Democratic control of the House will require a 24 seat gain. Winning at least 40 seats would give a more manageable majority and send a much stronger message that the direction of our country must change.
We have a great crop of candidates — best in a generation!
Spreadsheet: Donation Strategy
Guide to spreadsheet (click here)
Best Picks Now – These are Mid-Tier races with standout Dem nominees
already (either with no primary opposition or not very substantial
competition). Most are designated by the DCCC as a “Red to Blue” priority.
These are the candidates we think are the best investment for donation
Also Good – Good Mid-Tier races, but just not as high a priority as Best Picks
Good Bets Later – Also highly winnable and worthy but awaiting primaries.
Bigger Reach– Potentially winnable, but not as likely.
Too Good?– These Top Tier candidates/races, we think are winnable, but
are already well positioned and not as good a strategic investment.
Well Funded – Winnable races, but which have decent direct funds already,
especially compared to their opponents.
Cook Rating – Rating of the race by the Cook Report
Cook PVI – The “Partisan Voting Index” – an index of how the district leans
based on previous voting patterns.
Dem Odds – The odds of a D vs R victory at the PredictIt online betting site.
(These change very frequently and may not be perfectly up to date.)
Priority Opponent – R incumbents that would be particularly good to oust.
D-Cash Latest and R-Cash Latest – Cash on hand as of the latest FEC report.
When there is no standout candidate, it’s the competitor with the most cash.
SL+$ - Swing Left national has collected money for many races to be given to
the Dem candidate once he/she is selected. (May not be perfectly up to date.)
Polls – Selected poll results or Real Clear Politics average.
Prim. Date – Date of primary, or run-off. Or may be date of special election.